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April 06, 2006

Regulatory foresight

During my visits and for some time to come I hope to be able to focus on a special little project of mine: regulatory future studies, or regulatory foresight. I think it is really a fascinating, and poorly understood area. Future studies tend to focus, naturally, on technology, ethics or science - but it is first when these solidify into law that we understand the societal implications fully. That is at least my working hypothesis right now.

Understanding concept reception in innovation journalism

Had a great visit this morning with the IBM institute for electronic government. Interesting institution, great research and one of the powerhouses when it comes to trying new technologies, as a matter of course. One of the people I met, Andy Kendzie, was also a communications director and we chatted about how new technologies and new technological concepts are recieved in the media. He suggested, and I am prone to agree, that the section of a newspaper where a technology shows up is indicative of where it is in its adoption cycle. One could almost sketch a path: science news - news - business news - culture feature, that would represent the adoption cycle of a technology. E-government, they maintained, in the US has reached business news. Most of the publicity they get is publicity about deals and contracts.

This is a sign of serious maturity in the e-government sector in the US. Again, I am struck by how important a diagnostic reporting - both where and how, obviously - can be in future studies methodology.